Originally Posted by James Lacey
You probably should, since Trump's support is eroding across almost all demographic categories right now. The COVID-19 pandemic, the widespread demonstrations since George Floyd's death, and an economic downturn that started in February according to new financial data have laid-bare Trump's utter incompetence, his lack of political understanding, and his I'm a victim mentality. No one can predict what the national political ecosystem will look like in five months, any more than anyone could have predicted what has unfolded in the last five months. This much is for sure, though; Trump does not have the political instincts or the character to react to national crises in a way that benefits him politically. He has managed to alienate and turn-off voters in almost every demographic in the last five months. The only one he still holds steady in is white voters without a college degree.
I am starting to think that Trump is toast in November. Obviously 5 months is a lot of time and Biden needs to present himself plausibly between now and then.
Still, I'm thinking about D Veeps and Kamala Harris might be my first choice. Her background appeals to me as a moderate Republican. As I just mentioned, I am grappling with race issues (like anyone else who thinks about current events much). Even so, I find calls to defund the police to be extremely, fatally, and tragically short-sighted. A movement to defund the police is the sort of issue, if embraced by Biden, that would lock down my vote for Trump again.
In this environment does K. Harris have a chance on the left? I hope she does, but I kind of doubt it.