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Lunar Occultation of Jupiter (Egress)

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Posts Made By: Rod Kaufman

January 23, 2024 03:58 PM Forum: Politics

Trump Can't Tell Haley From Pelosi

Posted By Rod Kaufman

Originally Posted by Brian McFarland

Speaking of shit for brains, his latest words of wisdom in NH include something about needing voter ID to buy bread, whales washing ashore because of the wind, and veterans don't have cell phones. I know that last part is wrong because I'm a veteran and I have a cell phone.

For more laughs, look up the latest video of him rambling on about the death penalty; it's unbelievable. But funny!
Check out this Pakman video of Trump's latest in New Hampshire:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOMMicfa3-Q

Note that at least some in the crowd left while others were apparently struggling to comprehend what Trump was trying to say. One protester was beaten by Trumptoids on his way out...

January 24, 2024 02:18 AM Forum: Politics

Trump Can't Tell Haley From Pelosi

Posted By Rod Kaufman

Takeaways from the New Hampshire Republican primary:

1. No surprises: Trump will be the nominee again as will Biden.
2. The vast majority of those voting for Haley have college degrees while those who voted for Trump do not. Gee, I wonder why...

January 20, 2024 09:06 PM Forum: Politics

Trump Can't Tell Haley From Pelosi

Posted By Rod Kaufman

“Last night, Trump is at a rally,” Haley said in a clip posted on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter. “And he’s going on and on, mentioning me multiple times as to why I didn’t take security during the Capitol riots, why I didn’t handle January 6th better. I wasn’t even in D.C. on January 6th. I wasn’t in office then.”

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4419739-haley-raises-concerns-around-trumps-mental-fitness-following-pelosi-mixup/

The man has serious cognitive issues...

January 24, 2024 10:31 PM Forum: Politics

Predictions for November

Posted By Rod Kaufman

Originally Posted by Maurice Clark
Hi Everyone,

Now that it seems pretty certain that your election will be Biden vs Trump, who is game enough to make predictions for the elections and why?

I will go first.

Assuming nothing major happens (eg Trump or Biden having a major health event) I give the Republicans and 80/20 chance of taking the senate and the Democrats a 65/35 chance of taking the House.

The senate map is a disaster for the Democrats. They are defending several marginal seats while for the Republicans there is very little chance for any of their seats being lost.

For the house, it is so finely balanced that anything could happen. It will depend on turnout and which party has been most effective is gerrymandering the districts. (Why is that allowed???)

For the Presidency, I give Biden a 70/30 chance of being re-elected. The unknowns here are voter enthusiasm. How motivated are Trump's supporters, how many moderate Republicans will be willing to vote for Trump when there is no alternative but Biden, how motivated are the Democrat voters, and how effective are the Democrats are making abortion a major issue. Of course, the state of the economy will also be a major factor. Finally, how effective will Trump be in delaying his trials.

What do you think?

Maurice
I more or less agree with the senate and house predictions.
The leaders of the EU who met last week think Dementia Don will be elected. I see Biden just picked up an important union endorsement today which should help in a swing state. The economy continues to improve and by many measures is a lot better under Biden than under Trump. Only the constant misinformation stream from rightwing media causes people to mistakenly believe otherwise. In this regard, the "greed-inflation", as evidenced by recordings of corporate CEOs saying they're raising prices under the guise of inflation while stating "they're taking all they can", is, unfortunately, what hits people in the face at the supermarket or elsewhere. 

If inflation continues to mellow, the corporate inflation excuse diminishes, and prices should drop further. 
Right now, it's toss up between Biden and Trump although having the latter up on a debate stage with Biden should be another shit-show like the last one with Trump making an obvious ass out of himself, something he can't help, so hopefully, in the end Biden will prevail. In the meantime, with Trump pressuring senate Republicans to avoid a deal on the border to make him look good, Ukraine will be overrun, possibly with weeks to a few months from now...

January 25, 2024 05:58 PM Forum: Politics

Predictions for November

Posted By Rod Kaufman

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

I more or less agree with the senate and house predictions.
The leaders of the EU who met last week think Dementia Don will be elected. I see Biden just picked up an important union endorsement today which should help in a swing state. The economy continues to improve and by many measures is a lot better under Biden than under Trump. Only the constant misinformation stream from rightwing media causes people to mistakenly believe otherwise. In this regard, the "greed-inflation", as evidenced by recordings of corporate CEOs saying they're raising prices under the guise of inflation while stating "they're taking all they can", is, unfortunately, what hits people in the face at the supermarket or elsewhere. 

If inflation continues to mellow, the corporate inflation excuse diminishes, and prices should drop further. 
Right now, it's toss up between Biden and Trump although having the latter up on a debate stage with Biden should be another shit-show like the last one with Trump making an obvious ass out of himself, something he can't help, so hopefully, in the end Biden will prevail. In the meantime, with Trump pressuring senate Republicans to avoid a deal on the border to make him look good, Ukraine will be overrun, possibly with weeks to a few months from now...
More good news just in for Biden: "US economy grew at a shocking pace in the fourth quarter"
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/25/economy/fourth-quarter-gdp/index.html

January 26, 2024 02:25 AM Forum: Politics

Predictions for November

Posted By Rod Kaufman

Leave it to a Rich Davis type to cite "twitter" as some sort of a rational and valid reference. Hillary Clinton, as in the cases of other Democrats, conceded their election losses to their opponents, usually on the following day.  

As per fact checking: "Mostly True. Democrats filed objections in 2001, 2005, and in 2017, following elections that Republicans won. But the circumstances were different from those in 2021. In the earlier years, the losing candidate had already conceded. After the 2020 election, Trump was trying to overturn the election, and he had met with some House Republicans to further that goal."

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/politics/texas/politifact/article/Fact-check-How-often-do-Democrats-object-to-17476679.php

January 26, 2024 03:32 AM Forum: Politics

Predictions for November

Posted By Rod Kaufman

Originally Posted by Richard Davis



Communist in California is in denial that his Leftist Democrat party, virtually every member, denied that Donald Trump won the election freely, yet he just saw 24 straight minutes of every prominent Democrat claiming and engaging in Election Denial  

In the video they denied that George Bush won, so this is just par for the course with the hypocritical leftist Democrat party.  You can't make it up, and it is precious.  

It has to suck to be proven in video what gigantic hypocrites and election deniers are the entirety of the Democrat Political machine.  

"He's an Illegitimate President"!! 

LOL!  

Here is another montage in the NY Post Article, if one scrolls down to the last video and watches, you'll see them all say that the election was hacked and Trump was illegitimate.  

https://nypost.com/2022/09/29/youtube-restricts-video-of-dems-critics-saying-2016-election-was-hacked/
Our resident whacko doesn't seem to get it: " Democrats filed objections in 2001, 2005, and in 2017, following elections that Republicans won. But the circumstances were different from those in 2021. In the earlier years, the losing candidate had already conceded. After the 2020 election, Trump was trying to overturn the election, and he had met with some House Republicans to further that goal." Maybe, and I know it's a stretch, if he reads it again, he'll have some way of taking an initial attempt to improve his reading comprehension skills. We'll give him some time, since it'll likely take him a month or two, but it *may* begin to dawn on him...

January 26, 2024 05:18 PM Forum: Politics

Predictions for November

Posted By Rod Kaufman

Originally Posted by Jim Moscheck

Obviously it's my fault you can't post a link. I've looked at this page on three different computers and your link goes off into the neither world to the right of the screens.

Am I the only one that see this? This has happened before on this forum. I really don't think it's Davis' fault and its the software.
Seeing the same thing as you, Jim.

October 24, 2024 07:19 PM Forum: Politics

Predictions for November

Posted By Rod Kaufman

Originally Posted by Maurice Clark
Hi All,

Resurrecting this thread to see if anyone's predictions have changed now that it is less than 2 weeks before the election. (and the start of the 2028 electioneering :'().

I still think trump will lose. My guess is Harris wins with around 291 electoral votes.

For the senate, I think it will be 51/49 in favour of the republicans, although the race for Nebraska is interesting. Polls indicate Osborne has a chance.

For the house, I think the democrats will gain about an 8 seat majority.

What say the rest of you?

Cheers,

Maurice
I still think Trump will, unfortunately, win.

Your senate prediction is about right although I'm unsure about the margins.

I agree the democrats will take back the house although at a lessor margin than yours, i.e a few seats at best.

October 24, 2024 10:24 PM Forum: Politics

Predictions for November

Posted By Rod Kaufman

The GOP house oversight committee that certifies the presidential election has just hired two Trump 2020 fake electors. He can't lose!:


"Two onetime campaign officials tied to former President Donald Trump's 2020 fake electors plot have been hired by House Republicans to oversee national elections, according to a new report."

"The Committee on House Administration, which will play a key role when Congress certifies the election on Jan. 6, has hired former Trump campaign lawyer Joshua Findlay and operative Thomas Lane, CNN reported Thursday."


"The House Administration elections subcommittee has also met with groups tied to Trump's 2020 attempts to overturn the election, according to the report."

https://www.rawstory.com/house-gop-election-trump/