Posts Made By: Rod Kaufman

Originally Posted by Richard Davis

https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/articles/2024/10/16/stealth_edit_fbi_quietly_revises_violent_crime_stats_1065396.html

Crime is up. They lied, but then you believe anything they tell you.

Originally Posted by Richard Davis

Communist in California wrote:   

"The agency revised the violent crime rate between 2021 and 2022."

"Previously, the figures showed a 2.1% fall over this period, now the agency says there was a 4.5% rise"



Glad that you, through your very own link CONFIRMED that under Biden, violent crime is UP and that the title of this thread you started contradicts itself, when you say Harris says violent crime is down when it went UP under her Vice Presidency. 

Let me reiterate what YOU wrote:    under Biden, violent crime is UP

Its good that you confirmed she was wrong and Trump is right.  

Originally Posted by Richard Davis

And is this supposed to mean something?  

You run around desperately trying to find the most irrelevant people in the nation and then you post their thoughts here.

Has anyone ever heard this guy's name, ever in life? LOL 

Originally Posted by James Brown

I don't buy this above quote.  Do you?  While the race is going to be extremely close, the polling averages and major polling models show Trump creeping slightly ahead.  Still well within the MOE for the swing states.  

The only way Harris wins "comfortably" is a significant polling error in her favor.  That outcome seems unlikely to me given the polls under-polled Trump in 2016 and 2020.  I know they are implementing fixes this time, but I sure do not anticipate a large error in Harris's favor, specifically a large over-polling of Trump.   Jim

p.s.  Nate Silver has Trump ahead in the EC race 55 to 45, his biggest lead since September.  The average in the betting markets is 60/40 in Trump's favor.  The RCP averages of polls have Trump slightly ahead in all 7 swing states.  It is possible to predict a Harris win, but to win comfortably?  That is unlikely.   Unless one considers Harris winning all swing states by less than 1% or so "comfortable."  This is the second most likely outcome from Silver's model, after Trump winning all 7 swing states of course.

Originally Posted by Richard Davis

Hey Communist, there is absolutely not a thing you post which would trigger me.  

But you are free to dream.  

And this bit of moronic stupidity that you posted is great indication that you are off the charts unhinged and deranged:

Catch his nazi-style MAGA bash at Madison Square garden on youtube or the news? Quite reminiscent of the nazi rally there in 1939.

Really?  Reminiscent of the 1939 Rally?  Were you there in 1939 freakshow?   LOL!   

And yes with all those Israeli flags at the rally, that sure is Nazi like isn't it?

Has anyone nearby in your vicinity told you lately that you're a mental midget? 

Oh you don't say?

So there were 3 people at Starbucks who talked to you for 3 minutes, then put on shirts and asked for selfies with you, as they wore shirts which said "I'm with stupid" that had an arrow pointing to you?  

Is that what happened?

How about Jimmy Carter's political rally at MSG?  Was that Nazi like as well?   

Originally Posted by Richard Davis

Oh, are you speaking about Abe Lincoln who spoke about the enemy within?  You remember don't you, when Abe Lincoln actually shut down entire newspapers back then during the civil war for criticizing him and rounded them up for speaking out against the gov't?.   

You remember that right?  

Or were you speaking about Franklin Delano Roosevelt who spoke about the enemy within, and how he also jailed the reporters who criticized him?  

Or were you speaking about Barack Obama who put newspaper reporters in Jail, those guys like James Rosen?  

I guess those guys were Nazis, right?

But wait a minute, which party has ACTUAL Nazis in it, those Nazis who are Rashida Tlaib, Ilhan Omar, AOC, and others?

Gee, that would be leftist Democrats.  

Those Nazis above Are STILL in YOUR Congress.  Those Nazis supported the Hate filled River to the Sea crowd on College campuses, who are the Nazi students.

Anything you would care to say about YOUR Nazis?  Do you want to Defend again, YOUR Nazi Ilhan Omar?

Is there anything You would care to say to Ilhan Omar who once said about the Jews "they're all about the Benjamins", repeating her Nazi like Trope about Jewish people?  

Did you want to condemn her or SUPPORT her again as you did before? 

Tell me does Your support of an open Nazi Ilhan Omar indicate that you are simply naive and ignorant or just plain stupid?  

Originally Posted by James Brown

I agree that this race is too close to call with polls, but polls are the best tool we have.  In 2016 and 2020 the polls underestimated Trump's support.  This means Trump wins in 2024, unless the pollsters have overcorrected on some combination of the factors James mentions.

Nate Silver warns us not to trust our "gut instincts."  But in the same article, he discloses that his gut says Trump.  Bottom line, this is a 50/50 race and the winner of PA has a real leg up on winning the EC.