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Posts Made By: Dave Snope

March 8, 2010 08:09 PM Forum: Global Warming - REAL or NOT

Ex-President's Observations on Global Warming

Posted By Dave Snope

A former U.S. president made long-term observations on the warming of the climate, including reduced snow and warmer temperatures. He wrote the following letter on December 11th, '09 to a professor in Philadelphia:


The change which has taken place in our climate is one of those facts which all men of years are sensible of and yet none can prove by regular evidence. They can only appeal to each other’s general observation for the fact.

I remember that when I was a small boy, say sixty years ago, snows were frequent and deep in every winter, to my knee very often, to my waist sometimes, and that they covered the earth long. And I remember while yet young to have heard from very old men that in their youth the winters had been still colder, with deeper and longer snows. In the year '72, thirty-seven years ago, we had a snow two feet deep in the Champain parts of this state, and three feet in the counties next below the mountains...

While I lived at Washington, I kept a Diary, and by recurring to that I observe that from the winter of '02-'03 to that of '08-'09 inclusive, the average fall of snow of the seven winters was only 14½ inches, and that the ground was covered but sixteen days in each winter on average of the whole. The maximum in any one winter during that period was 21 inches fall, and 34 days on the ground, the minimum was 4½ inches fall and two days on the ground...

Williams in his history of Vermont has an essay on the change in the climate of Europe, Asia and Africa.


March 9, 2010 03:33 PM Forum: Global Warming - REAL or NOT

NSDIC Reports Antarctic Sea Ice Increasing

Posted By Dave Snope

Here is the latest graph:



H/T WUWT

edited for typo in title

March 14, 2010 09:22 PM Forum: Global Warming - REAL or NOT

Been a While Since We Talked About The

Posted By Dave Snope

Sun. This new post at WUWT is an important reminder of the role that the sun plays in the temperature of our planet (and others).


Dr. Nicolas Scafetta has written an extensive summary of the state of climate science today. He’s done some very extensive analysis of the solar contribution that bears examination. Pay particular attention to this graph from page 49:




Top: The figure shows the global surface temperature (black) detrended of its quadratic fit function as done in Figure 1. The data are plotted against the 60 year modulation of the speed of the sun relative to the center of mass of the solar system (red) shown in Appendix T. The 60 year modulation of SCMSS has been time-shifted by +5 years. Bottom: The figure shows the global surface temperature (black) filtered within its two decadal oscillation. The temperature modulation is plotted against the SCMSS (red) shown in Appendix T. No time-shift has been applied. The figures suggest that the 60 and 20 year modulation of the SCMSS can be used for forecasting these global surface temperature oscillations and has been used to reproduce the forecast modulation curves in Figure 13.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/03/14/dr-nicolas-scaffeta-summarizes-why-the-anthropogenic-theory-proposed-by-the-ipcc-should-be-questioned/

H/T WUWT

March 16, 2010 02:03 PM Forum: Global Warming - REAL or NOT

Killing Birds

Posted By Dave Snope

Spain has one of the three highest concentrations of turbines in Europe and, according to the Spanish Ornithological Society (see Mr Duchamp’s Iberica 2000 website), they may be killing up to a million birds a year.

The world’s largest and most carefully monitored wind farm, Altamont Pass in California, is estimated to have killed between 2,000 and 3,000 golden eagles alone in the past 20 years. Since turbines were erected on the isle of Smola, off Norway, home to an important population of white-tailed sea eagles, destruction is so great that last year only one chick survived. Thanks to wind farms in Tasmania, a unique sub-species of wedge-tailed eagles faces extinction. And here in Britain, plans to build eight wind farms on the Hebridean islands, among Scotland’s largest concentration of golden eagles, now pose a major threat to the species’ survival in the UK.


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/7437040/Eco-friendly-but-not-to-eagles.html


March 20, 2010 09:20 PM Forum: Global Warming - REAL or NOT

Alps Glaciers Disappear Due To Abnornal Warmth

Posted By Dave Snope

National Geographic has a great article with incredible photos of melting glaciers taken over a period of 53 years from the same spot showing the Hintereisferner and Kesselwandferner glaciers disappearing due to "abnormal warmth"




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This was from the November, 1976 issue National Geographic article "What's happening to our climate?"

March 20, 2010 10:40 PM Forum: Birding Optics and Photos

Shot Some Ducks

Posted By Dave Snope

I saw a good variety of waterfowl in SoCal the other day and took some pot shots. Not the greatest photography but the variety is nice.

I hope that I ID'ed them correctly.

Here's an American Coot

March 29, 2010 07:23 PM Forum: Global Warming - REAL or NOT

"James died for something he believed in"

Posted By Dave Snope

(Punta Arenas, Chile) Famed global warming activist James Schneider and a journalist friend were both found frozen to death on Saturday, about 90 miles from South Pole Station, by the pilot of a ski plane practicing emergency evacuation procedures.

"I couldn't believe what I was seeing", recounted the pilot, Jimmy Dolittle. "There were two snowmobiles with cargo sleds, a tent, and a bright orange rope that had been laid out on the ice, forming the words, 'HELP-COLD'".

One friend of Prof. Schneider told ecoEnquirer that he had been planning a trip to an ice sheet to film the devastation brought on by global warming. His wife, Linda, said that she had heard him discussing the trip with his environmental activist friends, but she assumed that he was talking about the Greenland ice sheet, a much smaller ice sheet than Antarctica.


http://www.ecoenquirer.com/south-pole-tragedy.htm

April 1, 2010 08:43 PM Forum: Global Warming - REAL or NOT

Guam Will Tip Over

Posted By Dave Snope

In this congressional committee hearing, Congressman Hank Johnson mentions global warming after he figures out what the environmental impact will be of putting more American servicemen on Guam: it will tip over and capsize.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zNZczIgVXjg&feature=player_embedded

Don't worry, our country is being run by the best and the brightest.

April 4, 2010 06:43 PM Forum: Global Warming - REAL or NOT

Arctic Temps Declined Over Last 1500 Years

Posted By Dave Snope

One of the tenets of AGW theory is that the polar regions have the highest sensitivity and show the most warming in the AGW simulations. And, of course, the poles are undergoing an unprecedented process of cataclysmic melting that we keep hearing about no matter how much the measurements show that everything is quite normal.

So, let's look at the temperature reconstructions of the arctic over the last 1500 years. Let's look at a solid study based on a reasonable number of trees, unlike, say, the Yamal tree ring study that the CRU bleats about that has stats driven mostly by one divergent tree in a tiny sample size of 12.

Here is a temperature reconstruction published in 2008 based on 620 Scots pines in the Swedish arctic circle. They find that it is gradually getting cooler, (-0.3C) and that we are currently in a period of recovery from the coldest temperature period of the last 10,000 years, the Little Ice Age.

The new Tornetra¨sk summer temperature reconstruction
shows a trend of -0.3C over the last 1,500 years. A
similar negative trend is seen in most other Holocene paleoclimate
records from northern Sweden, e.g. changes in tree-limit (Karle´n 1976;
Kullman 1995); pollen (Barnekow 1999); chironomids (Larocque and Bigler 2004); oxygenisotopes
in lacustrine biogenic silica (Shemesh et al. 2001)
and in lacustrine carbonates (Hammarlund et al. 2002). A
negative trend is also seen in oxygen isotope records in
Greenland ice cores (NGRIP-members 2004), which
implies that the proxy records from northern Sweden display
a general feature of Holocene climate in the North
Atlantic region, possibly linked to orbital forcing of summer
insolation.




http://www.springerlink.com/content/8j71453650116753/fulltext.pdf

April 10, 2010 05:07 PM Forum: Global Warming - REAL or NOT

Pennsylvania: Your Temperatures Are Fixed.

Posted By Dave Snope

Notice to Pennsylvanians: Do not trust your thermometers. The government is here to help, and they have a fix for your uncooperative thermometers. Do not forget that these are just dumb instruments that are incapable of indicating the bigger picture of climate change to you. Please eliminate your devices and use the government temperatures instead.

On April 6, Theoretical Physicist Dr. Jennifer Cohen published this study of the Pennsylvania temperature records "A REVIEW OF THE UNITED STATES HISTORICAL CLIMATOLOGY NETWORK VERSION 2: ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE RECORD FOR PENNSYLVANIA, U.S.A." In it she reviews the USHCN's "adjusted" temperature record vs. the raw temperature record. The "adjusted" temperature record is the official gov't record that is used by the AGW czars of NASA GISS, CRU, and most other studies to tell you that the earth is getting warmer. Only it's not in PA, if you look at thermometers.

She finds:
Averaging over the twenty-four stations the raw data yielded a small linear decline with temperatures trending -0.1 ± 0.1 ºC/century, while the U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USCHN) Version 2 adjusted data revealed an increase of 0.7 ± 0.1 ºC/century.

Her Conclusion:
In the state of Pennsylvania the raw temperature record reveals no significant change in temperature over the period from 1895 to 2009. The USHCN V2 adjusted temperature record shows an increase of less than a degree Celsius over those years. A cooling trend is observed in the raw and USHCN V2 records for the past 12 years.
In both the short and longer term cases the USHCN V2 adjusted data yielded trends that were roughly 1ºC per century higher than those found in the raw temperature records.


LOOK AWAY FROM YOUR THERMOMETERS NOW!

Here is one of many graphs from the study showing raw data in green vs. adjusted data in red. The raw data shows a temperature decrease, the adjusted data show that it is getting warmer. Which do you believe?


A REVIEW OF THE UNITED STATES HISTORICAL CLIMATOLOGY NETWORK VERSION 2: ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE RECORD FOR PENNSYLVANIA, U.S.A.
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/originals/us_historical_climatology.pdf
Dr. Jennifer M. Cohen is a theoretical physicist who has worked/taught at the Max-Plank Institute near Munich, Germany, Los Alamos National Laboratory, New Mexico Valencia and Shippensburg University PA. 1995-1999 American Physical Society councilor at-large.