Posts Made By: James Brown

Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer

You seem to be making a habit out of taking jabs at Rich upon every opportunity lately......gotten under your skin has he?

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

In regards to Texas, it appears the spikes we've been seeing there are in line with the expectation of their medical association:
https://www.kxan.com/news/coronavirus/texas-medical-association-president-expects-covid-19-cases-to-increase-in-coming-days/
In other words, I don't believe CNN has somehow misconstrued and misreported what's happened there but it seems the statician you've quoted has gone thru some numerical gymnastics to "explain" how and why he thinks what's happening in Texas and reported by CNN is all about how CNN got it wrong. Sheesh!

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

I hope he goes with Klobuchar...

Originally Posted by Darian Rachal

Yes, that is rather convenient.🤣😂  I seem to recall quite clearly the hysteria over the 2 million+ number that the "experts" touted.

Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer

How convenient for you that you remember Fauci stating "we can expect between 100,000 and 240,000 if we take action to mitigate" but dont recall the rest of that sentence "or as many as 2 million+ if we do nothing"

So the fact is Trump took it from 2 mil plus down to still less than 100k..... Though as usual all the blame is assigned to Trump and none of the credit lol

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

Follow up:
"In Texas, as more businesses get the green light to reopen, those plans have been delayed in some areas where the governor says jump in positive COVID-19 cases follow ramped-up testing capacity."
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/05/20/859261887/covid-19-cases-surge-in-amarillo-even-as-texas-continues-reopening

Originally Posted by James Lacey

Hi Darian,


The two million-plus number was the prediction if we did nothing. I honestly don't understand why this is so hard to understand. The epidemiological models update their forecasts in real-time based on the facts on the ground. Additionally, even your hero, Trump, uses this fact to claim that only 150,000 dead by August is a great job.


"Think of the number — potentially 2.2 million people if we did nothing if we didn't do the distancing, if we didn't do all of the things that we're doing," Trump said Sunday. -- Donald J. Trump, May 29th, 2020

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

Four states, including Georgia and Texas, are skewing their data by combining their testing procedures:
https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/21/health/us-coronavirus-thursday/index.html

Originally Posted by James Lacey

Hi Jim,

There is a slew of serological studies coming out of Europe now, and they are showing that exposure to COVID-19 is far lower than many people thought. Believe it or not, only 5% for countries like Italy and Spain. What this means is that herd immunity is a pipe-dream without a lot more severe cases and death. Between this and the recent demographics of fatalities, it seems pretty clear we need a segmented strategy that protects the most vulnerable and a test, trace and isolate program until a vaccine is available.

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

Sweden: "We failed to protect the elderly":
https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/21/health/sweden-herd-immunity-coronavirus-intl/index.html