The new administration ....Posted By Richard Wright |
I understand people are upset. I am one if them. But at the end of the day, I don't think any of us have reason to believe the government by our current parties is going to fix this:
The Republicans put up $750 billion dollars to prop up banks that are already dead. Effect: no improvement. Maybe we didn't have runs on the banks as a result.
The Democrats put up another $780 billion for stimulus. Effect: Probably will be hard to see- I anticipate it will appear to do very little. It is possible we'll finally get something approximating a modern transport network as a result.
But the problem is bigger than these. The American consumer base was spending $10 trillion/year. There is no entity of any sort in this world capable of that level if spending. China and India's populations combined spend $2 trillion/ year. But that is what has stopped. 2/3 of our economy is consumer spending, and those people are tapped out.
OK, maybe if people had listened to Jimmy Carter and not used credit cards, this wouldn't have happened. Maybe if the Bushes or Clinton had the nerve to stand up to big money, this wouldn't have happened. It really doesn't matter at this point. The ship went on the rocks in 2007, the problem was ignored for a year, and now the bottom is ripped out and she's taking on water, fast.
Our decision is whether we try to fix the blame, or try to fix the problem. Only one of those two options will help. If there was someone standing around to blame and by doing so make this better, then we should do that. But there isn't. Sure, we can say stick it to anyone who bought a house and now can't afford it. Ok, they walk away, it goes back to a bank, it is insolvent so it dumps the house on the saturated market, all other house values drop, everyone's net worth drops, credit gets tougher to come by, people spend less, the economy falls. We've tried that one. Teaching someone who hoped to have a home a bitter life lesson is hurting all of us.
But I don't think the government has the resources to stop that. As big as we think of our government as being, it is actually a wee little thing next to the national economy. It's more like a cowboy with a lasso on a bull. Government let go of the lasso when everyone devised plans to lobby for having regulations eliminated.
If you aren't happy with what the government has come up with as an answer, suggest a new solution. Here's one: forgive all debts, public and private, as they stand at one moment on one day. The idea would be to reset the system. Money is an abstraction we invented. We should only be willing to put up with a certain amountbof inconvenience for its sake.
But blaming one president or another isn't going to help us. We can just hope 70 years from now this lesson isn't lost again.
The Republicans put up $750 billion dollars to prop up banks that are already dead. Effect: no improvement. Maybe we didn't have runs on the banks as a result.
The Democrats put up another $780 billion for stimulus. Effect: Probably will be hard to see- I anticipate it will appear to do very little. It is possible we'll finally get something approximating a modern transport network as a result.
But the problem is bigger than these. The American consumer base was spending $10 trillion/year. There is no entity of any sort in this world capable of that level if spending. China and India's populations combined spend $2 trillion/ year. But that is what has stopped. 2/3 of our economy is consumer spending, and those people are tapped out.
OK, maybe if people had listened to Jimmy Carter and not used credit cards, this wouldn't have happened. Maybe if the Bushes or Clinton had the nerve to stand up to big money, this wouldn't have happened. It really doesn't matter at this point. The ship went on the rocks in 2007, the problem was ignored for a year, and now the bottom is ripped out and she's taking on water, fast.
Our decision is whether we try to fix the blame, or try to fix the problem. Only one of those two options will help. If there was someone standing around to blame and by doing so make this better, then we should do that. But there isn't. Sure, we can say stick it to anyone who bought a house and now can't afford it. Ok, they walk away, it goes back to a bank, it is insolvent so it dumps the house on the saturated market, all other house values drop, everyone's net worth drops, credit gets tougher to come by, people spend less, the economy falls. We've tried that one. Teaching someone who hoped to have a home a bitter life lesson is hurting all of us.
But I don't think the government has the resources to stop that. As big as we think of our government as being, it is actually a wee little thing next to the national economy. It's more like a cowboy with a lasso on a bull. Government let go of the lasso when everyone devised plans to lobby for having regulations eliminated.
If you aren't happy with what the government has come up with as an answer, suggest a new solution. Here's one: forgive all debts, public and private, as they stand at one moment on one day. The idea would be to reset the system. Money is an abstraction we invented. We should only be willing to put up with a certain amountbof inconvenience for its sake.
But blaming one president or another isn't going to help us. We can just hope 70 years from now this lesson isn't lost again.