Say Hello to Karizona!Posted By James Brown |
Masters has a lot of ground to make up, even if the bulk of the uncounted are in-person votes.Originally Posted by James Brown
It is really shocking how much the in-person vs. early ballot numbers differ in AZ and pretty much everywhere else. If your radio guy is right, and the remaining 20% or so are really in-person votes, I'd feel good if I were Keri Lake.
(image from link in previous post)
Damnit! Those Federal Judges are not going to allow Fetterman and the Democrat Party in Pennsylvania to cheat and count Illegal Ballots.Posted By James Brown |
I am curious Rich, if you are able to acknowledge that as a matter of mathematics, the odds in your example above are in fact 1 to 9 odds.Originally Posted by Richard Davis
If we have a raffle involving 10 tickets, and we sell all 10 tickets, and choose out of the barrel 1 ticket to take the prize, then there are 9 people who will NOT win the prize and 1 person who WILL win the prize. That translates to 1 in 10 odds, not 1 in 9. That's because 10 tickets were sold, not 9.
Well then, if I say 9/10 people will not win a raffle of 10 tickets, and 1 person will, that translates to odds of 1/10 winning. Do you agree?
It isn't 1 in 9 will win. 1/10 will win.
Damnit! Those Federal Judges are not going to allow Fetterman and the Democrat Party in Pennsylvania to cheat and count Illegal Ballots.Posted By James Brown |
This part was mine by the way, Not James's. I actually have no idea if he was literally trying to play you. I said that to rile you up. James has said that he was nit-picking to prove a point, and I believe him.Originally Posted by Richard Davis
Oh, isn't that funny.
You know something James you're a joke.
I provide evidence for all your mistakes, and when you can't defend your abject stupidity you come up with your regular BS of "you don't understand, I was trying to play you by making you step in my trap".
Total horshshit of course.
So much so that your excuses are at this point a pathetic attempt to get out of your obvious mistakes.
You don't joke and you don't set traps, so your responses like that just make you look silly.
Not only that, you don't mimic anyone, as your smarmy little remarks and your feeble attempts at a gotcha' moment which always backfire, are on you pal
Say Hello to Karizona!Posted By James Brown |
I read an article the other day, not sure I remember where, but the gist was that "mandates" are a thing of the past. The parties are so evenly divided (or so polarized) that any election is going to be a blowout like CA or FL yesterday, or it will be a nail-biter like the recent presidential elections. Whether or not the winner in Arizona has a mandate really doesn't matter though. It is not like the winner is going to moderate their style based upon it being a close election.Originally Posted by Rod KaufmanWell, if Lake does squeak out a victory, it'll be with half of the state voting against her. Hardly worthy of the title of this thread, let alone any sort of mandate from the people of the state.
Say Hello to Karizona!Posted By James Brown |
Speaking of irrelevant things, the graphic below from CNN caught my eye. I know it means nothing, but why would the popular vote favor Rs when the Rs did anything but dominate? I get it that portions of the D base like younger people, college students and so on are unreliable in the midterms, compared to old Rs, but still, this surprised me.Originally Posted by Rod KaufmanWell, if Lake does squeak out a victory, it'll be with half of the state voting against her. Hardly worthy of the title of this thread, let alone any sort of mandate from the people of the state.
Say Hello to Karizona!Posted By James Brown |
Last, I would be remiss to not acknowledge to you that in my opinion, CNN's "night-of" TV election coverage is the best by far. I really enjoy John King and his "magic wall." His knowledge and presentational skills are incredible. I surf around some, but always come back to CNN on election night.Originally Posted by James Brown
Speaking of irrelevant things, the graphic below from CNN caught my eye. I know it means nothing, but why would the popular vote favor Rs when the Rs did anything but dominate? I get it that portions of the D base like younger people, college students and so on are unreliable in the midterms, compared to old Rs, but still, this surprised me.
It ain't over 'till its over, and the US Senate is not overPosted By James Brown |
When the 20% D senate votes in Alaska are redistributed, I assume that fellow RINO Murkowski will beat Trump-endorsed Tshibaka. I don't know what to think of ranked choice voting, but in this case, I like the result (assuming I am right about the process).Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman
The Libertarian candidate won about 2% of the vote so the runoff victory may hinge upon whom he endorses...
It ain't over 'till its over, and the US Senate is not overPosted By James Brown |
The AK house race will be really interesting. Even though there is a slight R majority overall, I'm guessing that plenty of voters have D Peltola as their second choice behind Palin or Begich. So, I am guessing that Peltola wins eventually.Originally Posted by James Brown
When the 20% D senate votes in Alaska are redistributed, I assume that fellow RINO Murkowski will beat Trump-endorsed Tshibaka. I don't know what to think of ranked choice voting, but in this case, I like the result (assuming I am right about the process).
It ain't over 'till its over, and the US Senate is not overPosted By James Brown |
CNN is sort of contradicting Charlie Kirk. This will be interesting to see how it shakes out.Originally Posted by Richard Davis
I actually find it by not listening to the leftists who will always steer you wrong.
The Kari Lake/ Blake Masters info I got from Charlie Kirk who lives down in AZ and he is the head of Turning point USA. He spoke about it on his radio show this morning, gave it the full hour.
I verified it by reading about it right afterwards. I was shocked because when I went to bed last night, they only had 48% of the ballots in from AZ counted.
At that point she was behind about 13 points. WOW! I thought that there was no way she could make up that deficit.
But I did verify that 69% of ballots in and counted. So doing the math I saw that she came back to within 1/2 of a point in 21% more of the ballots counted, leaving 31% left and they all were from Day of voting or dropped off on the day of voting.
Kari Lake was only down by about 1/2 of a percent, if I remember correctly it was 49.7 to 50.2.
The total votes indicated that Lake got in the middle 950,000 mark and the Dem had 970K or so. It was close.
Let me see if I can dig up some of these things and I'll give you the links.
Say Hello to Karizona!Posted By James Brown |
This sort of map analytics is what I like about CNNs guy. Probably just bad timing, but whenever I cycled on to Fox they just had the talking head people talking….Originally Posted by Richard Davis
Fox's Bill Hemmer is quite good.
They have it set up so that he can take the very large wall map and then break it into each state and individual county.
Everything is a touch screen and he is able to show the previous election results in each county and state, compare it to previous elections several cycles back, and the differences between how the presidential vote compared to the candidates who are running, and provide all the breakdowns necessary to see how the votes are running in each specific area.
Don't know if you have but if not, you might want to check it out.
