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Lunar Occultation of Jupiter (Egress)

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Posts Made By: James Brown

November 12, 2022 09:59 AM Forum: Politics

I’m calling the Senate

Posted By James Brown

A big vote drop in Clark County just cut Lexalt’s lead to 700 votes.  The Ds just kill it on mail in.  This latest drop was over 60% Cortez Masto.  Next batch and she’s ahead for good.  The R’s only hope in the Senate is that Rich’s source is correct and Maricopa County in AZ is going to come in red.  What are the odds Rich is correct?  (Sorry, I couldn’t help myself.)  When I look at the math in AZ, I think it is hopeless for us Rs.  So, I’m calling the Senate as a D hold, no matter who wins GA.

At least Boebert is holding on…. I would hate for Rod to lose a key member of his posse.

Jim

November 12, 2022 11:26 AM Forum: Politics

I’m calling the Senate

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

"At least Boebert is holding on…. I would hate for Rod to lose a key member of his posse."
Gee, thanks, like I really needed that...
PS: I hope and pray your analysis, which I agree with, will hold true. I'm worried about Hobbs with that witch on her broom at her six...
Hobbs just put some more space between her tally and Lake’s https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/1591267143899021313?s=20&t=atXWCYucssGQIvg2WuFB6A

November 14, 2022 08:29 AM Forum: Politics

I’m calling the Senate

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by Russ Carroll
I wonder who this will help more in the GA run off now that the Dems already control the Senate?
Beats me, but I'm guessing Walker.  Us old codger Rs tend to vote whether it matters or not.  Not so much with the millennials.  Jim

November 14, 2022 11:11 PM Forum: Politics

I’m calling the Senate

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by James Lacey


What will be truly interesting in the next few months is what does Trump do when the GOP finally decides to jettison Trump. There is zero chance Trump will go quietly. He will burn the entire GOP establishment to the ground and do as much harm to himself and others on the way out. Most likely, if he decides to run in 2024 and doesn't get the nomination, he will run as an independent and doom the Republican's chances in 2024. There is no way this ends well for Republicans.

And it seems the GOP finally realizes they must rid themselves of him. Pence says publicly now Trump endangered him and his family on 1/6. GOP leaders are saying Trump lost the midterms for them. Finally, more and more people realize Trump is little more than a vengeful, overgrown man-child with zero empathy or humility. His criminal conduct is now so blatant that 1 in 6 Americans believe he should be charged with criminal conduct. Whatever the cost of getting rid of Trump, the GOP needs to do it and rebuild.
Agreed.  I personally think that rebuilding will not be that time consuming.  Maybe one four year election cycle.  Maybe only two years.  In the USA, rebuilding can happen by shutting up and letting the other guys shoot their own feet.  

It will be a real bummer for us moderate Rs if Trump runs as spoiler in 2024.  Not much to do about it though.  Maybe his team is so incompetent that they will not get on the ballot in the key states.... sad

November 14, 2022 11:19 PM Forum: Politics

Walker vs Warnock: A question and a suggestion.

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by James Lacey


It's been everything. The toxic MAGA politics. The Dobbs decision (has the DNC sent Alito a thank you note yet?). Youth voter turnout. Bad GOP candidates. And so forth and so on. It's a shame, though, since I was looking forward to endless Republican investigations into Hunter Biden's laptop.
Agree again.  But I think the Dobbs decision helps Rs in the long run.  The states are proving themselves capable of handling this issue, and if it means that some state legislatures flip, so be it.  In a few cycles, there may or may not be a federal abortion compromise  codifying Roe and making third trimester abortion illegal except in the gravest medical need.  Soon enough, this mother of all wedge issues will be very dilluted.

Jim

November 14, 2022 11:29 PM Forum: Politics

Walker vs Warnock: A question and a suggestion.

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman
Greg and Rich, who are undoubtedly befuddled and perplexed about the outcome of the midterm elections, obviously don't understand the reason for it. 
While they have heard, like the rest of us,  the old adage that "It's the economy stupid!", that's not what this election was about at all.  Why did we have the outcome that we did? "It's the extremism stupid!" While they likely can't fathom why the election denialism replete with Republican candidates pledging the GOP will never lose another election in "their" states, or MAGA types showing up at drop-box sites while armed and in camo, constitutes obnoxious and unacceptable behavior that they seemingly view as normal behavior. No, it not normal or acceptable behavior for backwoods country hillbillies to dress up in camo on the weekends and simultaneously shoot up targets with outlines of a person on them. No, it's not normal or acceptable behavior to drive around town with Trump flags on your pickup trucks while you have them on poles in front of your homes, nor is acceptable and normal behavior to direct threats against poll workers in elections. One can go on and on but guys like Greg and Rich will never get it...   
Hi Rod, Since I was big on the economy being the key issue, I'll admit I was wrong.   It is an issue of course, but somewhat mitigated by the other issues this time.  Still, with a good economy, and all other things being the same, Biden would have picked up lots of seats, as happens in the midterms from time to time.

I have read from several sources that the voters by and large rejected incompetence. This is an anti-Trump perspective of course, and it may not be fair to label all of those Trump supported as incompetent.  But it is comforting that competence was on the voter's minds.  This is a nod to my main theme of trusting the system.

538 has a lot of analysis showing that the voters mostly rejected the more vocal election deniers.  This overlaps with the competence issue, but hopefully the days of wholesale election denialism are behind the Rs.  There will always be a little of this on each side, but Trump of course took it to a level many magnitudes higher than acceptable.  Jim

November 15, 2022 01:29 AM Forum: Politics

Walker vs Warnock: A question and a suggestion.

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by Jim Moscheck
In other words the Democrats built a blue wall and MAGA paid for it.
Very clever and funny!  cool

November 15, 2022 05:14 AM Forum: Politics

The United States Dictator in Chief gets shut down again.

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

The case is under appeal and that's part and parcel of the legal process in this country. The Biden administration expected court challenges and the same happens in any administration for a variety of issues and that doesn't mean that a sitting president is a dictator if and when that happens.
And leave it up to some conservative Trump-appointed judges to block it after being spurred on to do so by a few conservative states. And that'll continue to go over big with the youthful vote which broke overwhelmingly for the Democrats in this election, don't you think?
Hi Rod:

I'm sure that the judges who look at the student loan forgiveness issue will have a lot of separation of powers precedent to analyze and consider.  The separation of powers is core to the Constitution and our government.  I remain optimistic that these judges will not be swayed by the bolded part above, one way or the other, no matter who appointed them.  

This is a lot like Dobbs.   I think the federal courts will decide the law based upon precedent as they interpret it, without considering political blow-back.  It is not like Alito and his fellow Justices in the Dobbs majority were unaware of how unpopular their decision would be with more than half of the voters.  Jim

November 16, 2022 01:11 AM Forum: Politics

What leftism is doing to families and Confused Transgender children

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by Brian McFarland

So I guess you live in PA.  You ranted for days about Fetterman.
Ouch!  That there ^ is funny!

November 16, 2022 01:12 AM Forum: Politics

NBC is calling it for Katie Hobbs. Looks like Fox News will be getting a new host

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by Jim Moscheck

Like I posted earlier the Democrats built a blue wall and had MAGA pay for it.

Can’t believe how close these races have been. The country is truly divided, but at least the voters rejected crazy.

Isn’t it time for her to claim voter fraud? It’s a sure bet she won’t concede. 
I shared this joke with one of my D activist sister-in-laws.  Much appreciated!