What, me worry?Posted By James Lacey |
Mel Maki said:
Why do you forum members think it is ok that we spend 50% more than we take in.
The deficit is potentially a large problem. Some would argue the likelihood of it becoming a large problem is small to remote; others foresee impending doom. Who is right? Impossible to know with a high degree of confidence.
The problem is, of course, is that deficit spending is an easy way to keep the economy stimulated and therefore too often used by our policy makers and politicians to deliver on promises that in turn keep them in power for the short-term. I'm certain some of the policy-makers focus on the long-term view, but it's hard to see that they are with the deficit as large as it is right now.
In my humble opinion, we have been tickling the dragon's tail concerning the deficit for a long time. What has saved us is the strength of the American economy that allows us to continue to fund the deficit, and kick the can down the road to speak. However, we are just one real global recession away from the gap between spending and borrowing causing real problems.
The nightmare scenario is that the US gets to the point where we have to default on our debt. If that ever happens on a large scale, then we will spend decades clawing our way back out of that hole. Average Americans, for example, are still saving and trying to recover from the October 2008 crash.
If our traditional lending sources lose confidence in US debt it will cause a plethora of problems, Our economy will suffer greatly, and American personal wealth will vanish overnight. Our military will have to shrink throwing tons of people out of work and leave a vacuum in the world that our traditional enemies and opportunists will fill instead. They will not have our best interests in mind. Entitlement spending will have to fall off precipitously leaving the weakest and most vulnerable in our population susceptible to ruin and tragedy otherwise avoided. The worst case scenario is not a pretty picture indeed. The question is, will it ever happen.
