Originally Posted by James Brown
Hi Dave:
I hope Russ and James read this post. I have been surprised and pleased (almost shocked) at how completely and willingly the social distancing efforts are being implemented in my neck of the woods. You will probably recall that I was extremely skeptical two weeks ago. Wrong again on my part!
Your estimate of the number of ICU beds in the US is wrong by at least 10x. I expect a typo on your part. We have at least 60k ICU beds and about 160,000 ventilators available. We have more ICU beds per capita than any other country in the world. Canada is in 2nd place, with about 1/2 the ICU beds we have, per capita. Will our relatively large supply of ICU beds and ventilators be enough? Hope so. Hope so for your sake too.
https://www.sccm.org/Communications/Critical-Care-Statistics
https://www.niskanencenter.org/is-u-s-health-care-well-equipped-for-the-coronavirus/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/03/13/coronavirus-numbers-we-really-should-be-worried-about/
One central point that Richard and Greg have made, in my view, is that this medical crisis is being exploited for political gain. This always happens. The opinion pieces attacking the Trump administration are legion, and in my opinion predominantly unfair. The administration response to crisis can always be second guessed, and of course Trump's demeanor makes it easy. But, the administration has in fact taken dramatic action. I doubt that any other administration would have done much better. I also doubt that this is the coup de grace that so many of Trump's enemies hope it is. I would not be surprised if Trump's popularity increases as the crisis deepens. Rallying together in the face of crisis is a very human and American behavior.
Of course, time will tell what the political fall-out might be. And since I am wrong about a lot, take my guess with a grain of salt!
Jim
Jim, As you may recall, I posted a thread on Israel's plan and asked where was ours was while noting Ben Carson said we had one but couldn't talk about it. We're only now ramping up to meet the expected challenges and many of our hospitals and clinics are underprepared, to say the least. We don't have enough test kits, drive through facilities and protective gear. Maybe that's why Ben wasn't talking about it. But other countries already were acting and we could have taken a stronger cue from them. I believe another president would have done so. It wasn't too long ago that Fox was downplaying the concerns with this virus along with "will see" attitude from the Trump team. Now that Trump has changed his tune, so has Fox. They all should have recognized the realities sooner as other countries did and acted appropriately. It was too long in coming and the tests, gear and the like still have a ways to go...