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Posts Made By: Rod Kaufman

May 21, 2020 02:32 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Rod Kaufman
In regards to Texas, it appears the spikes we've been seeing there are in line with the expectation of their medical association:
https://www.kxan.com/news/coronavirus/texas-medical-association-president-expects-covid-19-cases-to-increase-in-coming-days/
In other words, I don't believe CNN has somehow misconstrued and misreported what's happened there but it seems the statician you've quoted has gone thru some numerical gymnastics to "explain" how and why he thinks what's happening in Texas and reported by CNN is all about how CNN got it wrong. Sheesh!

May 21, 2020 03:19 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Rod Kaufman
Originally Posted by James Brown

Hi Rod:

That article from the TX Medical Association is dated May 4.  As of May 4, I too expected more of an increase than we have seen so far. 

In view of the last two week's data, I am skeptical of any current stories focusing on an alleged "spike" in Texas.  

At least we aren't seeing Gov. Kemp "Human Sacrifice" stories any more.

Jim
I'll have to look at graph for Texas at the end of the day, the only current reporting being:
https://www.kbtx.com/content/news/Brazos-County-sees-largest-spike-in-COVID-19-cases-570626081.html

May 21, 2020 04:17 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Rod Kaufman
The Oxford Economics model prediction of the outcome of the November presidential election:
https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/20/business/economy-election-trump-biden-jobs/index.html

May 21, 2020 04:42 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Rod Kaufman
Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer
Wishful thinking....Blaming the Covid and resulting economy on Trump is so disingenuous it is laughable......
Blaming Trump on his response to Covid and the resulting effects on the economy is precisely what will determine the outcome of the election. That's why we see Trump deflecting away from it in any manner he can, ie backing conspiracy theories, pushing his pills, blaming the CDC and so on...

May 21, 2020 05:33 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Rod Kaufman
Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer
Keep them coming Rod.....I needed some entertainment this evening lol
Trump on Covid: "Contained" "Hoax" Take your pick. Yeah, why blame him for that?...

May 21, 2020 06:06 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Rod Kaufman
Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer
Are you daft in the head Rod?  Per the "experts" we were looking at a death toll of 2 million plus just here in the states. We are under 100k at present.....that is a fantastic job. Either that or the "experts" still being listened to today were as full of shit as a Xmas turkey.....pick one smile
I hadn't heard about the 2 million plus figure so I don't know where that one comes from but the WH's max was around 240,000. So what if we lead the world in overall cases and deaths per country. It's only 93,000 now and there's plenty of Americans left where they came from so WTF, Trump's administration is doing a bang-up job and Trump says so!

May 21, 2020 06:12 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Rod Kaufman
Oh, btw, Trump praised Obama's response to the '09 to H1N1:
https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/20/politics/obama-trump-swine-flu/index.html

May 21, 2020 09:01 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Rod Kaufman
"So the fact is Trump took it from 2 mil plus down to still less than 100k..... Though as usual all the blame is assigned to Trump and none of the credit lol"
Lol X Infinity Squared!!!

May 21, 2020 09:08 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Rod Kaufman
Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

I'll have to look at graph for Texas at the end of the day, the only current reporting being:
https://www.kbtx.com/content/news/Brazos-County-sees-largest-spike-in-COVID-19-cases-570626081.html
Follow up:
"In Texas, as more businesses get the green light to reopen, those plans have been delayed in some areas where the governor says jump in positive COVID-19 cases follow ramped-up testing capacity."
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/05/20/859261887/covid-19-cases-surge-in-amarillo-even-as-texas-continues-reopening

May 21, 2020 11:24 PM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Rod Kaufman
Originally Posted by James Lacey


Hi Darian,


The two million-plus number was the prediction if we did nothing. I honestly don't understand why this is so hard to understand. The epidemiological models update their forecasts in real-time based on the facts on the ground. Additionally, even your hero, Trump, uses this fact to claim that only 150,000 dead by August is a great job.


"Think of the number — potentially 2.2 million people if we did nothing if we didn't do the distancing, if we didn't do all of the things that we're doing," Trump said Sunday. -- Donald J. Trump, May 29th, 2020
"I honestly don't understand why this is so hard to understand." The Lincoln project has a nice take on it:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1LUSfQ3XkQ8
It reminds of Pence stopping in at a fast food burger joint yesterday. No masks among his entourage except for the reporters. Pence proceeds to fill his cup at the public soda dispenser as the doctors on CNN stare in disbelief. You can't even do that at McDonalds anymore; it's corporate policy. You want a refill? A worker behind a counter  in a mask and gloves will get you one. I honestly don't understand why this so hard to understand....

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