Originally Posted by Russ Carroll
As I said, the courts will try, but fail.
Potential Example:
The Supreme Court overturns the dismissal of Transgender soldiers. Trump says any common-sense interpretation of the constitution refutes that and orders SECDEF to not re-hire them. Hexeddeath agrees and reiterates Trumps policy as law. The court summons the DOJ to order Hexdeath in front of the court, and Trump tells DOJ to ignore this illegal order.
who do you think Pam Bondi is going to obey?
EDIT I’m not certain the Supreme Court wouldn’t find in favor of Trump on this specific example, but there will be PLENTY of cases where they will unanimously go against Trump IMO.
Hi Russ - this is indeed a bad example, because I doubt that firing the trans soldiers is outside the scope of Trump's authority. The Court/Congress have not made the transgendered a protected class, so they are probably at-will employees. By the way, I disagree with his decision, it is repugnant and hateful, and I think it is wrong.
We all must remember that the issue is whether or not a decision or policy exceeds Trump's executive authority, not whether the decision or policy is repugnant, hateful, or wrong.
That said, you put your finger on the issue, as usual. When the Supreme Court does, inevitably and unambiguously, find that Trump has implemented an agency policy that exceeds his constitutional authority, I think Trump will comply, or more likely "sort of" comply by making a change to the policy that may or may not be sufficient, probably causing more litigation. (This happens all the time). In the meantime the policy is often on hold. I do not think Trump will provoke a Constitutional crisis by telling the Court to go to hell. He might want to, but he does have advisors who understand the separation of powers. I do not think the US Marshalls will support him if he does tell the Court to go to hell, no matter what Bondi and Trump say. If the US Marshalls do not act to support the Court's ruling, I expect the Congress to impeach and convict Trump or Bondi. Congress does not want unlimited executive authority. Even the Trump supporters in Congress.
I don't think this will happen, but if the US Marshalls stand down, and if Congress allows Trump to render the Supreme Court and themselves irrelevant, then we have a genuine civil war grade Constitutional Crisis. If Trump cancels future elections, then we have a dictatorship, and I do expect civil war. If he does not cancel the elections, then I expect the freedom loving citizens of the United States to make Trump, Vance, and Congress pay biggly at the ballot box. If the people roll over and accept dictatorship, then we got what we deserved.
I do not think it ever gets this far. As you said, we will see.