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Posts Made By: James Brown

November 1, 2026 12:34 AM Forum: Politics

Election predictions

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by James Brown

I agree with what Maurice, Jim, and James said.   Not nearly as strident as James though - I think Trump is full of bluster, but not actually affecting reasonable Americans.   I expect a blue wave in the house, and a 51/49 Senate in favor of the
Aw, common - was the humor too subtle?  sad

November 1, 2026 12:46 AM Forum: Politics

Election predictions

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by James Lacey
 Trump can't just accept a loss; he always has to create a pretext for why he was cheated, and he doesn't care one whit who or what he harms as long as it soothes his ego. He's done this before, so no one should think he won't do it again,

and Trump outright said, when he was asked, that he told the DOJ to file the lawsuit in Alaska.
No reasonable person could argue with the first statement I bolded above.  100% agree.

But the second statement needs reconsideration in view of the NYT investigative piece published a few days ago. 

It would really be ironic if an unnecessary, and probably illegal D dirty trick in Alaska cost them the Senate.  Sean Trende had a good analysis of this the other day.  Basically he said that when someone like Trump lies or cheats it does not affect his voters, because they already know he is immoral and a cheater.  However, Mary Petola has characterized herself as an honest person, one who is above partisan skullduggery.  The NYT article, confirming that her campaign and the national campaign actively sought out the second Dan Sullivan might make a difference in this tight race, especially in view of her now totally implausible denials.

November 1, 2026 12:55 AM Forum: Politics

Election predictions

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by James Brown

100% agree.  I'm not optimistic the D's won't squander their goodwill with endless impeachments and lawsuits.  On the other hand, I totally get it that Congress can not do too much actual legislating without a veto-proof majority, or the white house.  Any impeachment is DOA since at best the Ds will have only a slim majority in the Senate.  The Ds should try to address the economy and foreign affairs though, putting the ball back into Trump's court.  Make him veto popular and reasonable legislation and then coast to victory in 2028.
OK here's an idea suitable for Hollywood - how about Vance working backstage, Kevin Spacey style from the first few seasons of "House of Cards" to flip enough R Senators to convict Trump after the impeachment?  He'd probably need to flip 16 or 17 Republicans.  Surely that many hate Trump privately?  Then, Spacey - oops, I mean Vance, would be president for almost two years and get to run as the incumbent in '28.  Could happen!  I'm working on the screenplay.  cool

November 1, 2026 05:58 AM Forum: Politics

Election predictions

Posted By James Brown

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

Oh, and surprise, surprise: "Over 40% of names on DOJ list of alleged noncitizens(in Calif) are not on Calif voter rolls, analysis finds"  "The analysis also found that thousands of U.S. citizens appear to be flagged as ineligible to vote on the government’s list."

https://apnews.com/article/california-justice-department-noncitizen-voters-midterms-45b31d5aefb03723f0e59f6084e918d4

Reminds of the Trump government doing this in Nevada :  "The federal government said 15,903. The answer was zero."  

"In July 2026, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) sent a letter to Nevada Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar (D) claiming that as many as 15,903 noncitizens were on Nevada's voter rolls. The Department of Justice (DOJ) sent letters to election officials in all 50 states the same week, threatening criminal prosecution. The message from Washington was clear: Nevada's elections were compromised and federal action was warranted."  "None of it held up."

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/opinion-the-federal-government-said-15903-the-answer-was-zero

But, what's that compared to a couple of candidates with similar names in Alaska?
I think you are missing the point.  Trump's legendary BS about widespread election fraud six years ago was entirely and definitively disproven six years ago.  He’s at it again and he is scum.  No doubt he'll resort to the same old lies about election fraud when his party loses the House and Senate Tuesday.  There is nothing comparable about the magnitude of Trump's lies and Petola's lies at all.  

But, Petola is locked in a tight race for a Senate seat that matters a lot.  If she loses it because of her campaign's malfeasance, and if that matters for a Senate majority...  Well then, I think ironic is the right word.  We'll see tomorrow, or maybe next week - Alaska is notoriously slow.