The SenatePosted By Jim Moscheck |
John James has pulled a Trump and has already declared victory.Originally Posted by Russ Carroll
My classmate Gary Peters can thank Detroit for putting him over the top. He should win.
"New Record of 109K COVID-19 Cases as Worst-Hit Counties Voted Trump"Posted By Jim Moscheck |
Since Pennsylvania...Posted By Jim Moscheck |
"Judge rejects Trump lawsuit seeking to halt Michigan vote count"Posted By Jim Moscheck |
HI Jim, What makes you think he won't be on the ticket? I think it's a distinct possibility he will run.Originally Posted by James Brown
Hi James:
Yes and no. As we have discussed, Silver's model showed either a super close race or a Biden blowout if the polls were wrong again and wrong at least as badly as 2016. The difference being were the polls wrong in favor of Trump or wrong in favor of Biden. So Silver's model proved to be accurate given the polling data fed into it.
However, the polling sucked. The underlying polling caused the model to miss the Senate by a lot and caused it to miss the House by orders of magnitude.
So, the fact that Biden did win is thin soup for the polling industry. The polls were off by at least as much as they were in 2016. We'll have to wait until 2024 I suppose to see if the polling industry can recover when Trump is presumably not on the ticket. I suspect they can not.
Interestingly, a few rogue polling firms called this as a very tight race all along. (Morningstar and at least one other). They creamed the Quinnipiac's and WSJ polling firms this time.
So I love Silver's approach, but this time again the underlying polling data was garbage in, garbage out.
Jim
"Judge rejects Trump lawsuit seeking to halt Michigan vote count"Posted By Jim Moscheck |
Hi Jim: I honestly meant no harm and I shudder to think I came off a mean. I shouldn't be posting today anyways as I got very little sleep last night. I think I mentioned in another thread that my best friend from HS is in the hospital in AZ due to the virus.Originally Posted by James Brown
Hi Jim:
That is just mean. Seriously. Why not just fly to Denver and tag-team with Richard until I'm beaten senseless?
I think Nikki Haley or some other fresh and relevant face will kick his ass in the primaries, if he decides to run. Also, I agree with Russ - Trump likes to run and likes to win, but does he actually enjoy being president? He can get the 24/7 attention he craves by becoming a media persona, maybe he'll set up his own channel now that Fox has turned on him. He's gotta do something to make some money now.
Jim
"Judge rejects Trump lawsuit seeking to halt Michigan vote count"Posted By Jim Moscheck |
Right over my head. LOLOriginally Posted by James Brown
No worries, I was joking. But still - I sure hope Trump "loudly" fades away. Better to burn out than it is to rust!
Jim
The SenatePosted By Jim Moscheck |
A little different here in Michigan. We had to request a ballot for both the primary and general elections. They did include a question on the general election that asked if we'd like to receive mail in ballots from now on. Both my wife and I said yes. The ballot envelope must be signed.Originally Posted by Patrick Keafer
Jim,
I have mixed feelings about proactively mailing a ballot to everyone. It would be nice to see some actual effort put forth by voters but I guess that is asking too much. As long as the security of the process can be maintained I dontr have a big problem with it. I just don't think in a post pandemic world we can continue to accept ballots after election day, which has been the case in several states.
The SenatePosted By Jim Moscheck |
The SenatePosted By Jim Moscheck |
In Dur Bunker: UPDATED!!Posted By Jim Moscheck |
