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Watts up with the sun?

Started by hughbartlett, 01/24/2009 05:52PM
Posted 01/24/2009 05:52PM Opening Post
Day after day, week after week, month after month, I check spaceweather.com and I find the " The Sun is blank; no sunspots." Sunspot Cycle 24 is on a pace to set a record for a late return, which is highly correlated to the strength of the following 11-year cycle: the later the onset of the solar cycle, the weaker it is.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/01/19/what-the-solar-cycle-24-ramp-up-could-look-like/

This should give the alarmists some pause to stop and consider the public reaction to having over-stated their case, and having to retract their dire predictions as we enter a cooling phase for the next decade. If they cry "Wolf!" too many times and no danger appears, when a real danger threatens, few will believe their sensationalist claims of disaster.





"Praise the Lord for the expanding grandeur of creation, worlds known and unknown, galaxies beyond galaxies, filling us with awe and challenging our imaginations." 2007 Reform Siddur
Posted 01/24/2009 07:46PM #1
Considering the source you might give pause to your statements. You examine

http://www.pmodwrc.ch/pmod.php?topic=tsi/composite/SolarConstant

or

http://solar-center.stanford.edu/sun-on-earth/glob-warm.html

or

http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/globalwarming.html

for a little science. 28 years of reliable satellite observations suggests a trend of about +0.12 W/m2 in total irradiance. This is compared to 1367 w/m2 of INcoming SOlar radiaTION (insolation). Thus the trend in insolation amounts to less than 1000th of the total insolation. The paper by Friis-Christensen and Lassen (Science, 1991) which is one of the few scientific studies on the influence of changes in insolation on climates was later shown by Damon and Laut (2004) was flawed due to simple math errors



Posted 02/04/2009 04:10AM #2
The new issue of Sky and Telescope has a feature article on the impact of the Sun on global warming.

Andreas

DSOs observed:
NGCs 2005, ICs 103, Other 70, Palomar GCs 6, Abell PNs 12, Herschel 400: 316.
Equipment
Celestron CPC 1100, Lunt 60mm Ha Solar Scope